Beyond the streetlight
Abstract
This repository provides an analysis of the trend in forecast errors made by the Tealbook/Greenbook(GB) and the Survey of Professional Forecasters(SPF) for measures of the unemployment rate and real growth in personal consumption expenditures from 1982 to 2017. The data on forecasts for unemployment and consumption made by the federal reserve (Tealbook/Greenbook) and the mean across private forcasters are provided by the Philidelphia Fed. Data on realized values of the forecasted variables are provided by the St. Louis Fed.
Details
Authors
Abstract
This repository provides an analysis of the trend in forecast errors made by the Tealbook/Greenbook(GB) and the Survey of Professional Forecasters(SPF) for measures of the unemployment rate and real growth in personal consumption expenditures from 1982 to 2017.
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Live Interactive Notebook
This material includes a Jupyter Notebook version. You can directly launch and interact with the Notebook within your browser using MyBinder via the "Launch" button(s) below.
Material Source Code
Econ-ARK materials are open source and available to view and clone from GitHub.
How to Execute this Notebook (with conda)
Install miniconda on your computer
- Open a Terminal (MacOS) or the Anaconda Prompt (Windows)
- At a command line, change the working directory to the one where you want to install
- On MacOS/unix, if you install in the
/tmp
directory, the repo will disappear at reboot: cd /tmp
- On MacOS/unix, if you install in the
git clone https://github.com/dedwar65/beyond-the-streetlight --recursive
cd beyond-the-streetlight
conda env create -f ./binder/environment.yml --prefix ./condaenv
- This creates
./condaenv
inside your clone of the repo, containing dependencies. conda run --prefix ./condaenv pip install jupyterlab
conda run --prefix ./condaenv jupyter-lab
Metadata
Key | Value |
---|---|
cff-version | 1.1.0 |
message | If you use this software, please cite it as below. |
authors | {"family-names"=>"Edwards", "given-names"=>"Decory"} {"family-names"=>"Carroll", "given-names"=>"Christopher", "orcid"=>"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3732-9312"} |
abstract | This repository provides an analysis of the trend in forecast errors made by the Tealbook/Greenbook(GB) and the Survey of Professional Forecasters(SPF) for measures of the unemployment rate and real growth in personal consumption expenditures from 1982 to 2017. |
version | 1.0.4 |
date-released | |
remark-version | |
references | {"type"=>"article", "authors"=>[{"family-names"=>"Corrado", "given-names"=>"Carol"}, {"family-names"=>"Kennickell", "given-names"=>"Arthur"}], "title"=>"100 years of Economic Measurement in the Division of Research & Statistics: Beyond the streetlight", "date"=># |
github_repo_url | https://github.com/dedwar65/beyond-the-streetlight |
remark-name | beyond-the-streetlight |
title-original-paper | 100 years of Economic Measurement in the Division of Research & Statistics: Beyond the streetlight |
notebooks | RS100_Discussion_Slides.ipynb |
tags | REMARK Notebook |
keywords | Econ-ARK Greenbook Forecast errors |
date |